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A tropical cyclone will affect the the locality. Winds of 62 kph up to 88 kph may be expected in at least 24 hours. ROSAL FURTHER WEAKENS AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA EAST OF BATANES. Location of eye/center : The center of the eye of Super Typhoon ROSAL was estimated based on all available data at at 400 km East of Basco, Batanes (20.4, 125.8). Strength : Maximum winds of 185 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 230 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move West Northwestward at 20 kph Forecast position : Oct 22, 2026 08:00 PM - 330 km East of Itbayat, Batanes Oct 23, 2026 08:00 AM - 300 km Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes Oct 23, 2026 08:00 PM - 420 km North of Itbayat, Batanes Oct 24, 2026 08:00 AM - 595 km North of Itbayat, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR) Oct 24, 2026 08:00 PM - 865 km North Northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Heavy Rainfall Outlook Refer to Weather Advisory No. 8 issued at 11:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to the TC ROSAL. Severe Winds The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction. Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2. Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1. The highest Wind Signal that may be raised during the passage of ROSAL is Wind Signal No. 3, which is likely to be hoisted over Batanes. However, if ROSAL will move a more north northwestward track, hoisting of Wind Signal No. 3 will become less likely. The Northeasterly Windflow and the periphery of ROSAL will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): Today (22 October): Most of Luzon and Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, BARMM, Northern Mindanao, Agusan del Norte, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Sarangani, Davao Occidental, and Davao Oriental. Friday (23 October): Most of Luzon and Visayas, Zamboanga del Norte, Misamis Occidental, Camiguin, Davao Occidental, and Davao Oriental. Saturday (24 October): Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Polillo Islands, Bicol Region, Romblon, Capiz, Iloilo, and Negros Occidental. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS A Gale Warning is in effect over the northern and eastern seaboards of Luzon. For more details, refer to Gale Warning No. 4 issued at 5:00 AM today. 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook Up to very rough, high, or very high seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 12.0 m: The northern and eastern seaboards of Batanes. Up to 9.0 m: The seaboard of Babuyan Islands; the remaining seaboard of Batanes; the northeastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan. Up to 7.0 m: The remaining seaboard of mainland Cagayan; the seaboard of northern Isabela. Up to 6.0 m: The northern seaboard of Ilocos Norte; the remaining seaboard of Isabela. Up to 5.5 m: The remaining seaboard of Ilocos Norte. Up to 4.5 m: The seaboards of Ilocos Sur and northern Aurora; the northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands. Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside. Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 4.0 m: The seaboards of northern Quezon and northern La Union; the remaining seaboard of Aurora; the western seaboard of Pangasinan; the northern seaboards of Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, and Catanduanes. Up to 3.5 m: The eastern seaboards of Catanduanes, Albay, and Sorsogon; the northern seaboard of Northern Samar. Up to 3.0 m: The seaboard of Zambales; the eastern seaboards of Eastern Samar, Dinagat Islands, and Siargao-Bucas Grande Islands. Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced of operating ill-equipped vessels. Up to moderate to rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 2.5 m: The western seaboards of Bataan, Lubang Islands, and Surigao del Sur; the remaining seaboards of La Union and Pangasinan; the remaining seaboard of Catanduanes. Up to 2.0 m: The western seaboards of Batangas, Cavite, and Calamian Islands; the eastern seaboard of Davao Oriental. Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions. Other coastal waters have forecast wave heights of less than 2.0 m. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall and severe winds may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone. ROSAL will continue moving generally northwestward until tonight. It will begin to turn north northwestward by tomorrow morning before recurving north northeastward by Saturday (24 October). On the forecast track, the tropical cyclone will be closest to Extreme Northern Luzon between this afternoon and tomorrow morning. It will exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by tomorrow evening or Saturday early morning. ROSAL will continue to gradually weaken and may be downgraded into a typhoon within the day. By Saturday, the tropical cyclone will begin to rapidly weaken and may be downgraded into a severe tropical storm.
ConsignesConsidering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
Source: PAGASA (Philippines), licensed under Creative Commons BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) | Warnings of a national meteorological service, from the registry of the WMO Severe Weather Information Centre (https://severeweather.wmo.int). The issuer's own terms apply to each warning | Issued by PAGASA-DOST
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